Investment Decision Support

From turbine upgrades to M&A and concession negotiations -simulate the financial and operational impact of your next move before committing capital.
Use Case

Real Solutions for Real Hydropower Challenges

Hardware Investment & Expansion (CADRE AS)

Challenge
Evaluating whether to refurbish or expand a plant relied on static assumptions and incomplete data, making it difficult to confidently commit capital.
Solution
Digital twin simulation of the existing plant -including efficiency curves, hydrological basin characteristics, and trained inflow models.
Result
3 scenarios simulated in 3 days, showing 3 years of hourly data, revealing an 11% revenue increase from an additional turbine.
  • Digital Twin Modelling
  • A full replica of your plant's technical setup, hydrology, and operational constraints, built from your existing operational data.
  • Multi-Scenario Simulation
  • Test dry, average, and wet year conditions to understand investment performance across realistic climate variability.
  • Hourly Granularity
  • Explore how an investment impacts operations at the hourly level - from efficiency curves and production capacity to constraint adherence.
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M&A Analysis

Challenge
Acquisition decisions based on seller-provided historical data risk overvaluing or undervaluing assets, especially when operations were not optimally dispatched.
Solution
Simulate revenue potential of target assets under optimised, price-driven operations -factoring in real inflows, market prices, and technical constraints.
Result
Uncover the true operational value of prospective assets and negotiate from a position of data-driven confidence.
  • Independent Revenue Simulation
  • Go beyond seller-reported figures by modelling what the asset could generate under optimal dispatch.
  • Real-Life Inputs
  • Simulations use actual inflow data and market price forecasts, not assumptions, for credible and defensible analysis.
  • Exportable KPI Reports
  • Actionable results delivered on-platform and downloadable for due diligence documentation and stakeholder alignment.
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Regulatory & Concession Changes

Challenge
Quantifying the financial impact of concession changes is complex and often left to rough estimates.
Solution
Model the operational and revenue impact of proposed regulatory changes to understand opportunity costs precisely.
Result
Precise quantification of opportunity costs, turning concession negotiations from guesswork into data-backed discussions.
  • Constraint-Aware Simulation
  • Factor in real-world requirements like minimum discharge, ramping limits, and environmental flows for realistic impact assessment.
  • What-If Scenario Comparison
  • Compare current operations against proposed regulatory conditions side by side, at hourly resolution.
  • Stakeholder-Ready Outputs
  • Results stored in HYDROGRID Insight for future reference, with exports in multiple formats ready to share with regulators or board members.
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